0xEd308B5491C9E1497debC7562401ED0f02Ff87B1-1770381547738
0xed308b5491c9e1497debc7562401ed0f02ff87b1
- Realised P&L
- $8.1k
- Volume
- $638.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,388
- Open portfolio
- $590.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,388
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$790.36at 0.728Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 15?
- +$573.80at 0.337Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5?
- +$516.10at 0.443Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14?
- +$450.16at 0.083Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?
- +$433.18at 0.735Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 08:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.81 | $117.45 |
| 10-19 01:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -1°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $302.72 |
| 10-18 20:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $97.99 |
| 10-18 20:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 19:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.0488206095 | $69.40 |
| 10-18 19:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.3 | $134.63 |
| 10-18 17:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.80 |
| 10-18 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.87 |
| 10-18 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.85 |
| 10-18 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $83.14 |
| 10-18 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.80 |
| 10-18 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.59 |
| 10-18 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 10-18 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.994625 | $39.78 |
| 10-18 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $80.76 |