PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEd308B5491C9E1497debC7562401ED0f02Ff87B1-1770381547738

0xed308b5491c9e1497debc7562401ed0f02ff87b1

Realised P&L
$8.1k
Volume
$638.0k
Markets traded
5,388
Open portfolio
$590.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,388
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 08:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?SELL0.81$117.45
10-19 01:25Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -1°C on October 19?SELL0.999$302.72
10-18 20:50Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on October 18?BUY0.99$97.99
10-18 20:50Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on October 18?BUY0.99$100.00
10-18 19:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?BUY0.0488206095$69.40
10-18 19:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?BUY0.3$134.63
10-18 17:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?BUY0.2$50.80
10-18 16:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 18?SELL0.999$25.87
10-18 16:57Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 18?BUY0.998$25.85
10-18 13:55Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18?SELL0.999$83.14
10-18 13:53Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18?BUY0.995$99.80
10-18 11:50Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 18?BUY0.99$1.59
10-18 10:20Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 18?BUY0.998$499.00
10-18 10:20Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 18?BUY0.994625$39.78
10-18 09:20Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 18?BUY0.998$80.76