0xed2936CAFdFCb672d2d14bf965AC357b07693848-1783604164795
0xed2936cafdfcb672d2d14bf965ac357b07693848
- Realised P&L
- $636.68
- Volume
- $43.3k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $8.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.030Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?
- +$216.42at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 28?
- +$172.17at 0.244Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?
- +$158.84at 0.279Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?
- +$135.45at 0.227Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.93 |
| 09-22 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.28 |
| 09-22 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.83 |
| 09-21 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.77 |
| 09-21 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1443502538 | $2.84 |
| 09-21 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.10 |
| 09-21 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0945945946 | $0.88 |
| 09-21 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.54 |
| 09-21 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0864311206 | $1.21 |
| 09-21 01:26 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4128315412 | $5.76 |
| 09-20 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.69 |
| 09-20 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.22 |
| 09-20 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.67 |
| 09-20 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.61 |
| 09-20 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.22 |