PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xed2936CAFdFCb672d2d14bf965AC357b07693848-1783604164795

0xed2936cafdfcb672d2d14bf965ac357b07693848

Realised P&L
$636.68
Volume
$43.3k
Markets traded
206
Open portfolio
$8.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded206
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? · Yes0.2970.410$5.67+$1.56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22? · Yes0.4131.000$2.66+$1.56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22? · Yes0.1440.001$0.01$2.83
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$53.46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on September 3? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C or higher on September 6? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on September 3? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 27? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$75.65
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 7? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00$31.42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 10? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00$20.84
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 13? · Yes0.4240.000$0.00$61.00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 26? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00$16.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$89.10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$32.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 15:49Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23?SELL0.29$2.93
09-22 05:47Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23?BUY0.25$1.28
09-22 01:29Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23?BUY0.31$5.83
09-21 21:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22?SELL0.6$6.77
09-21 19:48Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.1443502538$2.84
09-21 16:02Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?SELL0.18$3.10
09-21 11:05Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.0945945946$0.88
09-21 10:03Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?SELL0.09$0.54
09-21 07:52Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.0864311206$1.21
09-21 01:26Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.4128315412$5.76
09-20 21:03Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?SELL0.54$3.69
09-20 15:46Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21?SELL0.28$3.22
09-20 15:46Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.51$4.67
09-20 15:05Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?SELL0.46$5.61
09-20 14:45Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.28$3.22