asfrdsvr
0xed2479b8063e3caf1c0341abb509f86d23609e2b
- Realised P&L
- $40.20
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $309.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $150.25 | −$0.60 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $1.00? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.900 | $90.00 | −$9.90 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $69.69 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.56at 0.933Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of May 4 2026?
- +$16.67at 0.971Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$7.35at 0.989Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$7.14at 0.987Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
- +$6.59at 0.987Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 end of February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:40 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.85 |
| 10-10 13:39 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-10 13:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 09-22 05:23 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $121.02 |
| 09-21 09:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.997 | $104.69 |
| 09-13 00:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.9989167568 | $120.00 |
| 09-10 06:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.9989554037 | $112.00 |
| 09-02 10:32 | Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.88 |
| 09-01 07:51 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $98.50 |
| 08-22 10:30 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $115.42 |
| 08-18 07:11 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $5.50? | BUY | 0.9973150459 | $203.00 |
| 08-09 01:49 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.9988237368 | $85.00 |
| 08-09 01:48 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.998 | $124.75 |
| 08-04 06:51 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $111.89 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |