PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Krzyzo

0xed217d449d1aae1f62d9b9047779d62449a8e3e0

Realised P&L
$-37.32
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$1.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0930.017$0.88$4.12
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2500.021$0.44$4.66
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$5.00
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$1.00
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3430.000$0.00$7.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026? · No0.2960.000$0.00$4.07
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? · No0.3610.000$0.00$5.00
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$2.00
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 22:19Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.24$1.10
07-11 20:59Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2174998369$1.00
07-11 20:58Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
07-03 19:15Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.0379999641$1.00
06-16 18:30Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
06-16 06:00Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
06-09 17:27Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0177981515$1.00
06-09 17:26Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
06-09 17:25Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.26$5.10
06-06 11:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$0.88
06-06 11:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.00
06-06 11:12Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$0.25
06-06 11:10Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?BUY0.0118554533$1.00
06-06 11:09Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
06-06 11:08Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00