young4h
0xed169c4ae324bfceebd41379a8f3ff01674851e3
- Realised P&L
- $-427.91
- Volume
- $47.9k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $77.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.16at 0.206Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$114.95at 0.464 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$114.61at 0.391Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
- +$72.93at 0.567US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$69.85at 0.718Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 00:36 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 07-27 00:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.46 |
| 07-23 01:48 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | BUY | 0.509999999 | $88.00 |
| 07-23 01:45 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? | BUY | 0.1249450755 | $28.00 |
| 07-23 01:44 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? | BUY | 0.1032831477 | $18.00 |
| 07-23 01:27 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | BUY | 0.0865814099 | $44.00 |
| 07-23 01:27 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | BUY | 0.0965558104 | $44.00 |
| 07-08 16:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 16:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.005 | $4.06 |
| 07-07 14:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.0110000001 | $1.40 |
| 07-07 13:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.93 |
| 07-01 14:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.60 |
| 07-01 01:29 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.63 |
| 07-01 01:28 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $16.00 |
| 06-30 15:36 | Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | BUY | 0.1008415416 | $16.00 |