bartdump
0xed1252e32df701f39b78fbb21a8d9732d23fc018
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $1.88M
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $91.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.102Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$679.55at 0.830MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$583.84at 0.959MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$456.62at 0.099Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$354.89at 0.941MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 19:53 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $37.58 |
| 07-02 05:56 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 07-02 05:55 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 07-02 05:55 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 06-14 18:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $52.31 |
| 04-30 21:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.062129611 | $1.2k |
| 04-30 21:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0636623319 | $976.75 |
| 04-30 13:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.066 | $266.27 |
| 04-30 09:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.06627645 | $331.38 |
| 04-01 18:02 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $27.00 |
| 03-28 05:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.104 | $324.06 |
| 03-20 11:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.107 | $533.92 |
| 03-20 11:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.107 | $2.2k |
| 03-18 08:26 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.102 | $6.24 |
| 03-17 08:02 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.1102535217 | $833.54 |