PolyBot

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Traders

bartdump

0xed1252e32df701f39b78fbb21a8d9732d23fc018

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$1.88M
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$91.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3670.049$91.42−$599.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$191.94
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$165.49
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.55
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$30.00
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31? · No0.0780.000$0.00−$42.61
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$20.80
Ethereum Up or Down on December 3? · Down0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.9500.000$0.00−$892.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "Jingle Bell Heist" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025) · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET · Down0.1090.000$0.00−$184.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$1.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 30? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$10.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 19:53Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$37.58
07-02 05:56Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$36.00
07-02 05:55Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$12.00
07-02 05:55Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$12.00
06-14 18:22Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.16$52.31
04-30 21:16Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.062129611$1.2k
04-30 21:15Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.0636623319$976.75
04-30 13:27Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.066$266.27
04-30 09:16Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.06627645$331.38
04-01 18:02Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.09$27.00
03-28 05:05Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.104$324.06
03-20 11:50Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.107$533.92
03-20 11:50Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.107$2.2k
03-18 08:26Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.102$6.24
03-17 08:02Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.1102535217$833.54