rss1234
0xed105e138d6d88279884f8cd1ccb593040be45eb
- Realised P&L
- $230.77
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.02at 0.645Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$54.25at 0.907Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$41.65at 0.923T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)
- +$39.41at 0.331No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
- +$28.59at 0.778Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 15:45 | Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.0350201865 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 15:45 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.0429948862 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 14:49 | Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 18:05 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899999954 | $40.00 |
| 07-19 18:04 | Dani Olmo: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 18:03 | Alex Baena: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 15:29 | Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.7972440927 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 15:28 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.8049999847 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 15:27 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.7711899037 | $235.41 |
| 07-14 18:21 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.6551719059 | $200.00 |
| 07-10 10:05 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9039999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 10:04 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.7051384994 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 10:03 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.904 | $700.00 |
| 07-04 17:25 | Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026? | SELL | 0.9449657738 | $101.60 |
| 06-15 16:54 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |