PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xed0f1466937a863cbfd7d975d276ed35efe1b307

Realised P&L
$-157.20
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
270
Open portfolio
$0.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded270
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes0.3140.002$0.01$3.12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 14? · No0.0600.000$0.00$10.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.69
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 22? · No0.5600.000$0.00$2.90
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 23? · No0.2170.000$0.00$24.64
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 27? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$5.94
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on March 30? · No0.4940.000$0.00$5.61
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 29? · No0.6500.000$0.00$5.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23? · No0.3740.000$0.00$13.23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 28? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on March 17? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.76
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 26? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$5.40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 22? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$6.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 24? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$5.55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 28? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$7.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-03 01:07Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 4?BUY0.2699999696$5.11
04-02 00:07Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on April 2?BUY0.6299999643$4.93
04-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 3?BUY0.6199999729$4.85
04-02 00:01Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 2?BUY0.6$5.27
04-02 00:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 2?BUY0.5599999871$4.99
04-02 00:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on April 3?BUY0.5529563428$4.81
04-02 00:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?BUY0.517999954$4.95
04-01 00:07Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on April 2?BUY0.1292933567$5.26
03-30 16:49Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on April 1?BUY0.6199999666$5.07
03-30 16:47Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 1?BUY0.75$5.20
03-30 14:44Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 1?BUY0.74$5.07
03-30 14:44Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on March 31?BUY0.75$5.27
03-30 14:41Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 1?BUY0.76$5.21
03-30 14:41Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 1?BUY0.6499999877$5.15
03-30 14:41Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 1?BUY0.62$5.44