AyaKurobane
0xed0ccadc6b0920b9014c84fdb6d171490c205e23
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $181.9k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $244.83
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.220 | $104.90 | −$23.84 |
| Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.055 | $55.00 | −$365.00 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.263 | 0.815 | $43.77 | +$29.67 |
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.286 | 0.815 | $41.17 | +$26.71 |
| Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.84 |
| Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.66 |
| Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch · Yes | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$234.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.123Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.313Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
- +$436.97at 0.850Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
- +$321.07at 0.586Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch
- +$285.12at 0.243Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 13:57 | Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.88 |
| 06-04 13:57 | Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.139 | $2.78 |
| 06-03 11:20 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.33 | $124.96 |
| 06-03 11:20 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.32 | $23.93 |
| 06-03 11:20 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 06-03 11:20 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.58 | $130.88 |
| 05-29 18:20 | Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $128.74 |
| 05-29 18:14 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.56 | $85.38 |
| 05-29 18:13 | Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch | BUY | 0.19 | $30.84 |
| 05-29 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 09:43 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.10 |
| 05-22 09:43 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 09:37 | Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $9.08 |
| 05-22 09:36 | Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.38 |
| 04-02 10:02 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $94.08 |