anon238472
0xed0a57ebac789a7faeab3a328a16634ad836a6a3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $88.3k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $40.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.041 | $40.50 | −$179.50 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$330.00 |
| USC vs. Oregon · USC | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$270.00 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$855.04at 0.100Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$760.00at 0.240US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$700.00at 0.300Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$426.39at 0.701Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
- +$400.00at 0.470Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 14:17 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3225677168 | $500.00 |
| 02-19 01:40 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 02-19 00:08 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $240.00 |
| 02-10 17:27 | Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 02-09 01:38 | Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 02-09 01:05 | Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 02-09 00:52 | Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.747 | $4.35 |
| 02-09 00:46 | Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 02-09 00:45 | Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 02-09 00:32 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 02-09 00:27 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 11-22 22:14 | USC vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 10-17 01:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 01:45 | Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.7010692515 | $1000.00 |
| 07-28 23:49 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $220.00 |