PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xED04895E5368b4aB0D8A3aB525E378726b487419-1764171694529

0xed04895e5368b4ab0d8a3ab525e378726b487419

Realised P&L
$-230.98
Volume
$57.4k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$3.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed abolished before 2027? · Yes0.0580.020$3.45$6.55
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? · No0.0100.000$0.00$3.00
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k? · No0.0150.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-02 18:13Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?BUY0.01$3.00
03-02 18:12Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?SELL0.02$1.46
03-02 18:12Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?SELL0.1$1.94
02-20 13:18Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?BUY0.1299999577$2.52
02-20 13:17US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
02-20 13:17US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
02-20 13:16Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0310884012$11.96
02-10 17:05Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
02-10 17:05Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
02-10 17:04Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
02-03 20:28U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?BUY0.004$5.00
02-03 20:23Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?BUY0.001$2.00
02-03 20:23Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?BUY0.0170000001$3.00
01-29 21:18Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.0150349939$5.00
01-29 21:18Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?BUY0.0374933449$5.00