Sarcasm
0xecffa2bb300a587f8aee6a4630cacca7b4598d1c
- Realised P&L
- $-497.14
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.72at 0.511Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?
- +$117.17at 0.378Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
- +$115.86at 0.554Will Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
- +$113.50at 0.572LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
- +$107.06at 0.582Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:12 | Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5696094544 | $145.85 |
| 10-10 08:37 | LoL: PART TIMERS vs West Point Esports PH - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4172158949 | $10.49 |
| 10-10 01:18 | Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Fuego (+2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $55.30 |
| 10-09 23:04 | Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Fuego (+2.5) | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 23:01 | Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Fuego (+2.5) | BUY | 0.7099999997 | $27.67 |
| 09-16 18:26 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.299999996 | $7.49 |
| 09-03 03:45 | Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $6.72 |
| 09-03 03:44 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.07 |
| 08-27 21:51 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3300990099 | $16.67 |
| 08-25 21:41 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.6255900853 | $107.73 |
| 08-18 11:51 | Will DN SOOPers Win KeSPA Cup 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.58 |
| 08-17 18:20 | Will DN SOOPers Win KeSPA Cup 2026? | BUY | 0.4449999884 | $12.29 |
| 07-30 02:47 | LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage | SELL | 0.999 | $265.27 |
| 07-30 00:07 | LoL: Blue Otter vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage | BUY | 0.5591919923 | $148.49 |
| 07-16 23:50 | Will Trump say "Crooked" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.89 |