Markthebest16
0xecfd8e61afb28a75c32a039c9d4b3390186a75c6
- Realised P&L
- $-132.21
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.34at 0.115Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.85at 0.193Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.68at 0.880Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$11.12at 0.437Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$6.41at 0.487Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 23:29 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.974 | $16.07 |
| 07-15 23:12 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.654 | $847.77 |
| 07-15 23:10 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.654 | $253.23 |
| 07-15 23:05 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6559999987 | $93.30 |
| 07-15 23:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.421 | $42.55 |
| 07-15 23:00 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $51.69 |
| 07-15 22:50 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6549999998 | $1.0k |
| 07-12 19:58 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 19:58 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 20:50 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:44 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5774999403 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 13:21 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4299999899 | $8.50 |
| 07-08 13:21 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.00 |
| 07-08 13:19 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.3899999928 | $14.00 |
| 07-08 13:14 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.50 |