PolyBot

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Traders

Markthebest16

0xecfd8e61afb28a75c32a039c9d4b3390186a75c6

Realised P&L
$-132.21
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9740.968$1.1k$7.22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00$34.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.5770.000$0.00$3.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$122.48
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$5.00
Will England win on 2026-07-05? · No0.6300.000$0.00$7.00
Will England win on 2026-07-01? · No0.2400.000$0.00$2.50
First Blood in Game 1? · Team Liquid0.4700.000$0.00$1.00
Megaquake before August? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? · No0.5000.000$0.00$6.00
China x India military clash by June 30? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$2.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? · No0.2530.000$0.00$5.50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? · No0.2700.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 23:29Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.974$16.07
07-15 23:12Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.654$847.77
07-15 23:10Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.654$253.23
07-15 23:05Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6559999987$93.30
07-15 23:00Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.421$42.55
07-15 23:00Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.579$51.69
07-15 22:50Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6549999998$1.0k
07-12 19:58Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.32$5.00
07-12 19:58Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.29999997$5.00
07-10 20:50Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.0949999211$1.00
07-10 20:44Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.5774999403$3.00
07-08 13:21Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.4299999899$8.50
07-08 13:21Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.48$6.00
07-08 13:19Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.3899999928$14.00
07-08 13:14Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.4$4.50