Johnc17
0xece898424c26a52eada9515e0f221cd34a1210ce
- Realised P&L
- $-44.94
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $63.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.145 | $45.31 | −$4.69 |
| Spread: Texas (-5.5) · Texas | 0.520 | 0.480 | $18.46 | −$1.54 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 24? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.06at 0.592Panthers vs. Falcons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:46 | Spread: Texas (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 03:31 | Panthers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 03:15 | Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 02-27 21:12 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections? | BUY | 0.1021044491 | $40.00 |
| 12-24 04:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 24? | BUY | 0.0299999959 | $7.00 |
| 11-03 21:24 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999757 | $6.00 |
| 11-03 21:24 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $6.00 |