TMet
0xece524eeed9af4ffc9ab20efc473d69173189f17
- Realised P&L
- $-43.50
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $2.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.051 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.170 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.14at 0.290Will the Red Bloc win by 4–7 seats?
- +$19.00at 0.710Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?
- +$9.43at 0.240Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
- +$7.21at 0.570Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?
- +$6.67at 0.600Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 07:47 | Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? | BUY | 0.0819999311 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 07:47 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 04-11 19:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 03-15 11:37 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0619999719 | $2.00 |
| 03-08 17:31 | Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-08? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 15:27 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-03-07? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 20:10 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-01? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 01-08 08:50 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 19:55 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 12-31 21:54 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 12-31 21:54 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 12-16 13:24 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 12-16 12:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 12-15 20:40 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.18 |
| 12-15 18:37 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |