PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

7y8ul

0xece1db6b91e0aa0c5c39948470e1b8090d18a49e

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$38.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar17.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 24? · Yes0.9900.990$26.95+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 27? · No0.9200.900$11.17$0.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 24? · No0.0840.000$0.00$17.70
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 12 above $225? · No0.0400.000$0.00$9.49
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 13? · No0.0630.000$0.00$7.16
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$15.80
Will Ragne Wiklund (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$28.49
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $235? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$4.41
Will the Conservative Party of Japan be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$5.39
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 20, 2026? · No0.9690.000$0.00$212.54
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.0890.000$0.00$17.62
Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$5.72
Will Kaitlyn McGregor (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$4.15
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 20? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$6.42
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5) · FC Dallas0.1800.000$0.00$49.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 11:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?BUY0.995$12.73
04-20 03:59Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?BUY0.11$172.49
03-23 10:24Mavericks vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.31$89.07
03-14 15:05Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)BUY0.27$156.06
03-12 04:39Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)BUY0.18$49.39
03-09 03:14Kashima Antlers vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5BUY0.23$67.16
03-07 00:47Will Livingston FC win on 2026-03-14?BUY0.14$36.63
02-20 13:51Will Kaitlyn McGregor (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.025$4.15
02-19 22:30Will Emily Watson win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?BUY0.022$2.67
02-19 20:28Will Ragne Wiklund (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.099$28.49
02-17 10:15Will Lithuania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.032$6.32
02-17 10:06Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?BUY0.117$13.82
02-12 06:36Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 13?BUY0.063$7.16
02-10 10:51Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?BUY0.056$8.48
02-10 09:53Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $235?BUY0.041$4.41