PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xECdBa2099Ca9326F097b745Fc9083E51De54C3b4-1771598167520

0xecdba2099ca9326f097b745fc9083e51de54c3b4

Realised P&L
$-205.83
Volume
$59.3k
Markets traded
2,467
Open portfolio
$102.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,467
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 22? · Yes0.9500.995$51.47+$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes0.9821.000$50.94+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6? · Yes0.9700.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12? · Yes0.8750.000$0.00$8.75
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$7.70
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 27? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$8.50
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 18? · No0.9800.000$0.00$19.60
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2? · No0.9500.000$0.00$6.26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 1? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$13.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 5? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$8.50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 31? · Yes0.5450.000$0.00$10.90
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00$7.51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00$49.17
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 17? · Yes0.8680.000$0.00$8.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:51Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 22?BUY0.9499999952$49.17
09-22 11:58Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22?SELL0.991$72.24
09-22 11:57Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22?SELL0.995$406.12
09-22 11:57Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22?SELL0.99$113.15
09-22 11:57Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22?SELL0.999$97.51
09-22 11:57Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22?SELL0.99$41.98
09-22 11:34Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22?BUY0.98$400.00
09-22 11:32Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22?BUY0.9795122426$95.61
09-22 11:29Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22?BUY0.98$112.99
09-22 11:25Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22?BUY0.98$112.00
09-21 23:24Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 21?BUY0.9758323204$49.17
09-21 21:27Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?BUY0.9789999613$10.00
09-21 21:18Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 21?BUY0.9799999647$10.00
09-21 21:18Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?BUY0.98$10.00
09-21 20:06Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21?BUY0.98$10.43