PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xecd2575821f610f5ec558fdbda5156ba7485bb24

Realised P&L
$-5.59
Volume
$336.00
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$59.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7900.915$19.21+$2.63
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8100.925$12.95+$1.61
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9000.895$6.26$0.04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.8000.945$5.67+$0.87
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4640.912$5.47+$2.69
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.9300.958$4.79+$0.14
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$1.82$2.94
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1800.085$1.53$1.71
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1900.075$1.35$2.07
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5120.087$0.44$2.12
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · No0.2400.000$0.00$3.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 09:44Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$6.30
06-11 10:10U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.93$4.65
06-01 09:03China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$8.10
06-01 09:03Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.512$2.56
05-25 23:04Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.8$4.80
05-23 20:53Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.79$16.59
05-21 06:22Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$4.76
05-21 06:22Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.18$3.24
05-21 06:22Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.464$2.78
04-26 03:56China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.95$4.75
04-26 03:55Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.81$11.34
04-26 03:55Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.19$3.42
04-22 02:41Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.708$3.54
03-26 10:37Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.24$7.44
03-26 10:37Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.77$17.71