jag26969
0xeccd23c28bb68403c5b1b4aff8be582891cd8451
- Realised P&L
- $802.02
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 581
- Open portfolio
- $13.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded581
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 49ers (-7.5) · 49ers | 0.490 | 0.495 | $4.95 | +$0.05 |
| Penguins vs. Utah · Penguins | 0.370 | 0.365 | $3.65 | −$0.05 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.635 | $3.17 | −$0.03 |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $1.48 | −$0.03 |
| Jets vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.01 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.39 |
| Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.05 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.60 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia end in a draw? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.60 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.60 |
| New Haven vs. Robert Morris · Robert Morris | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.80 |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Nursulton Ruziboev | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.95 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals · Cleveland Guardians | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$780.00at 0.025UMass vs. Rutgers
- +$321.25at 0.557Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
- +$146.88at 0.350Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$109.62at 0.130Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
- +$106.00at 0.321Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 17:54 | Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $220.00 |
| 08-18 02:03 | Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |