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Traders

someone41

0xecc8c4d44060eb23f505902f609bc95132be9f59

Realised P&L
$70.01
Volume
$59.8k
Markets traded
401
Open portfolio
$82.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded401
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26? · No0.9820.999$82.82+$1.40
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$18.70
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9690.000$0.00−$7.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 07:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.99$12.97
09-25 07:25Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.98$68.44
09-25 07:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on September 25?SELL0.999$81.49
09-24 13:02Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on September 25?BUY0.99$80.75
09-24 13:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 24?SELL0.999$80.79
09-23 03:17Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 24?BUY0.98$79.25
09-23 03:09Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 23?SELL0.999$79.32
09-22 13:41Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 23?BUY0.99$78.61
09-22 13:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 22?SELL0.999$55.52
09-22 13:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 22?SELL0.999$22.98
09-21 09:29Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.988$22.72
09-21 09:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 22?BUY0.991$12.39
09-21 09:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 22?BUY0.991$4.96
09-21 09:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on September 22?BUY0.99$37.70
09-21 07:08Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 21?SELL0.999$65.91
Trader someone41 · PolyBot Pro