0xecc7bd7da8e788bc34678912dce4a689cf0a27d9
0xecc7bd7da8e788bc34678912dce4a689cf0a27d9
- Realised P&L
- $18.32
- Volume
- $202.41
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $10.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.560 | $2.33 | +$1.33 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.965 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.865 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.430 | 0.535 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.880 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · No | 0.610 | 0.605 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.725 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.615 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $219 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.260 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$3.14at 0.247S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 1?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:03 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:02 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:44 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:44 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $219 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:26 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:04 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:02 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:52 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:47 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 08:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |