Maximus22
0xecbeba24a9e7d8fc3091db367f2578e911ac42ff
- Realised P&L
- $161.5k
- Volume
- $49.34M
- Markets traded
- 8,356
- Open portfolio
- $487.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,356
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.345 | $287.40 | −$20.83 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees | 0.450 | 0.445 | $200.24 | −$2.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.7kat 0.003US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
- +$26.7kat 0.001Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$19.9kat 0.018Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$17.9kat 0.290New Mexico vs. Minnesota
- +$15.1kat 0.010Thunder vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $8.00 |
| 10-02 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.1505 | $30.10 |
| 10-02 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.6915801949 | $131.30 |
| 10-02 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $7.89 |
| 10-02 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $6.00 |
| 10-02 13:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $4.10 |
| 10-02 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $8.00 |
| 10-02 03:40 | Steelers vs. Browns | SELL | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 03:29 | Steelers vs. Browns | SELL | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 10-01 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.36 |
| 10-01 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 10-01 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 10-01 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.154779 | $30.96 |
| 09-30 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $8.00 |