Russian-sf
0xecb8802288a32dc36b43110b6f129d7df5d32a2a
- Realised P&L
- $-73.84
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 677
- Open portfolio
- $84.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded677
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.30at 0.533Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 31?
- +$40.00at 0.054Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 10-16?
- +$40.00at 0.240Will Ethereum dip to $3,700 October 27-November 2?
- +$35.00at 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 14?
- +$33.80at 0.090Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on September 23? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3499999992 | $22.00 |
| 09-22 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 09-22 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 09-22 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3433 | $10.30 |
| 09-22 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-22 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.70 |
| 09-21 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 09-21 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 09-21 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.55 |
| 09-21 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.70 |
| 09-21 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.379999999 | $22.00 |
| 09-21 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.67 | $20.10 |