Russian-sf
0xecb8802288a32dc36b43110b6f129d7df5d32a2a
- Realised P&L
- $-48.25
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 577
- Open portfolio
- $31.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded577
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.30at 0.533Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 31?
- +$40.00at 0.054Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 10-16?
- +$40.00at 0.240Will Ethereum dip to $3,700 October 27-November 2?
- +$35.00at 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 14?
- +$33.80at 0.090Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3286852488 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 02:01 | Will HULIGANI Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.0049751244 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.5223390134 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5899999272 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 22:11 | Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs | SELL | 0.73 | $1.32 |
| 07-26 21:46 | Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |