SaylorMoon
0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3
- Realised P&L
- $478.3k
- Volume
- $78.78M
- Markets traded
- 2,539
- Open portfolio
- $186.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,539
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.5kat 0.531Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$164.7kat 0.497No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
- +$117.9kat 0.121Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$88.5kat 0.176Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
- +$87.6kat 0.650No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 22:43 | Spread: Houston (-3.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.6k |
| 10-17 22:42 | Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.5k |
| 10-17 21:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $45.7k |
| 10-17 20:03 | Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5870466652 | $385.70 |
| 10-17 19:14 | Spread: Alabama (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.5k |
| 10-17 17:23 | Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $2.6k |
| 10-13 20:22 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.4k |
| 10-12 22:21 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.35 | $1.8k |
| 10-12 21:02 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.46 | $2.3k |
| 10-12 20:58 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.46 | $2.3k |
| 10-11 20:25 | Broncos vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.24 | $960.00 |
| 10-11 20:16 | Broncos vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.43 | $2.6k |
| 10-11 19:41 | Vikings vs. Saints | BUY | 0.0199841898 | $112.50 |
| 10-11 19:39 | Vikings vs. Saints | BUY | 0.03 | $373.48 |
| 10-11 19:37 | Vikings vs. Saints | BUY | 0.09 | $1.8k |