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Traders

Elark

0xecaf8a9280d93eaeb4ca30f3043b0dce4fe9992f

Realised P&L
$40.98
Volume
$687.28
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$24.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2270.090$24.29−$36.84
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 5? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.5850.000$0.00−$7.44
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$10.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 01:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.045$0.95
06-25 06:25Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999909$12.86
06-25 06:22Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.56
05-13 06:58Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.26$15.31
05-04 06:39Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.993$61.07
03-15 14:13Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.26$15.99
02-28 14:42Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.8$16.00
02-28 14:40Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5849999678$7.44
02-28 06:51Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.991$7.43
02-17 08:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1099999589$2.33
02-15 14:21T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)BUY0.8$1.86
02-04 14:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10?BUY0.037$1.04
02-02 17:37Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.3$6.00
01-30 07:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 5?BUY0.0495$0.99
01-30 06:56Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.075$10.05
Trader Elark · PolyBot Pro