0xecab7D859CBcFDBCa074E2feb793a279B7aC5694-1777961782715
0xecab7d859cbcfdbca074e2feb793a279b7ac5694
- Realised P&L
- $-108.45
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $57.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.49at 0.123Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$34.30at 0.123Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$34.11at 0.473Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.35at 0.195Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$17.53at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.50 |
| 09-15 19:18 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.90 |
| 09-13 18:46 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.026 | $5.95 |
| 09-09 08:31 | Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0245992219 | $4.55 |
| 09-05 18:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.44 |
| 09-05 18:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.70 |
| 07-25 19:19 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.31 |
| 07-25 19:19 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.90 |
| 07-25 19:18 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.014999997 | $4.90 |
| 07-25 19:18 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0156976756 | $4.90 |
| 07-23 21:28 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 07-23 21:27 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1149999762 | $4.20 |
| 07-23 21:26 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $4.80 |
| 07-23 21:26 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.70 |
| 07-23 21:25 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.70 |