PolyBot

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Traders

0xecab7D859CBcFDBCa074E2feb793a279B7aC5694-1777961782715

0xecab7d859cbcfdbca074e2feb793a279b7ac5694

Realised P&L
$-108.45
Volume
$20.2k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$57.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0250.053$9.90+$5.35
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1150.116$9.18+$0.08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5000.875$7.77+$3.33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1000.115$5.17+$0.68
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.003$4.85$4.85
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.0800.075$4.59$0.31
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.045$3.67$6.13
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0150.009$2.78$2.12
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.003$2.69$1.62
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.001$2.40$7.20
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.002$1.84$3.06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.002$1.76$2.94
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0160.002$0.47$4.43
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$9.52
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1$4.50
09-15 19:18Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?BUY0.08$4.90
09-13 18:46Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.026$5.95
09-09 08:31Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.0245992219$4.55
09-05 18:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$4.44
09-05 18:29Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$4.70
07-25 19:19Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$4.31
07-25 19:19Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$4.90
07-25 19:18Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.014999997$4.90
07-25 19:18Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0156976756$4.90
07-23 21:28Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.038$3.80
07-23 21:27Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1149999762$4.20
07-23 21:26Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$4.80
07-23 21:26Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$4.70
07-23 21:25Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$4.70