kylierhodes
0xeca96cda6592e8cbb54c189c74d880e96af56071
- Realised P&L
- $4.94
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $78.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18? · No | 0.840 | 0.941 | $28.46 | +$3.05 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 18? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.808 | $23.02 | +$2.23 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.855 | $15.82 | +$2.13 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18? · No | 0.870 | 1.000 | $10.76 | +$1.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.61at 0.800Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
- +$6.12at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?
- +$5.90at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 8?
- +$0.35at 0.989Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$0.30at 0.976Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:33 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.08 |
| 01-30 17:50 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.89 |
| 01-30 15:37 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.77 |
| 01-30 14:58 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.60 |
| 01-30 13:07 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998999999 | $65.87 |
| 12-30 09:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.71 |
| 12-30 09:25 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.17 |
| 12-29 23:05 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999394 | $14.13 |
| 12-29 20:00 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $56.07 |
| 10-30 20:19 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $31.77 |
| 10-30 19:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.23 |
| 09-29 16:23 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.48 |
| 09-29 12:37 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999999 | $17.98 |
| 09-29 06:24 | Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.67 |
| 09-29 04:26 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September? | BUY | 0.9979999768 | $12.90 |