tukiaa1
0xeca24961f710d8c8e6bcdcb87471d945807320e6
- Realised P&L
- $-280.28
- Volume
- $73.6k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $11.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$415.70at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$274.33at 0.538Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$201.32at 0.604Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
- +$199.30at 0.601Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
- +$186.76at 0.637Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-18 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 09-18 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 09-18 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4255555556 | $7.66 |
| 09-18 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0572760346 | $1.26 |
| 09-18 01:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.31 |
| 09-18 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 09-18 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.84 |
| 09-18 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-18 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.57 | $6.27 |
| 09-17 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-17 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0963888889 | $1.74 |
| 09-17 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.62 |
| 09-17 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.82 |