vickichristensen
0xec967f846e3de70b9f3a0cd20ea4ef52b1ebb988
- Realised P&L
- $2.96
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $20.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.580 | 0.575 | $20.19 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.44at 0.866Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
- +$2.00at 0.770San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score
- +$0.36at 0.982Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
- +$0.25at 0.990Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$0.22at 0.989Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 05:47 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.86 | $15.66 |
| 01-31 13:28 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.62 |
| 01-31 13:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.69 |
| 01-30 15:38 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.24 |
| 01-30 15:32 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.26 |
| 01-30 12:36 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.55 |
| 01-30 12:01 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.08 |
| 12-30 14:14 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.65 |
| 12-30 12:51 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999888 | $12.69 |
| 12-30 00:12 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9899999613 | $24.79 |
| 12-29 23:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999643 | $24.73 |
| 12-29 19:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998999971 | $20.39 |
| 10-30 17:49 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9889999996 | $20.17 |
| 10-30 17:48 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.03 |
| 10-30 17:45 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9819999783 | $19.76 |