0xec9179a5bea24e28fc6b94bf07b58770fa3040ce
0xec9179a5bea24e28fc6b94bf07b58770fa3040ce
- Realised P&L
- $-27.69
- Volume
- $619.14
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.081 | $1.61 | −$1.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.79at 0.520Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
- +$4.17at 0.351Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$2.99at 0.498Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 9?
- +$1.90at 0.814Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.30at 0.889Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 14:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089999773 | $4.43 |
| 07-16 15:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.5289116825 | $4.77 |
| 07-15 16:53 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3624999449 | $3.21 |
| 07-14 20:35 | Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.337999915 | $2.17 |
| 07-10 02:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.4779999202 | $2.85 |
| 07-07 16:19 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4299999691 | $5.84 |
| 06-16 20:53 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8799999932 | $10.28 |
| 06-16 20:26 | Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.49 |
| 06-15 00:53 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.5099999589 | $5.09 |
| 06-12 01:46 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8049999936 | $8.20 |
| 06-12 01:45 | Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 06-12 01:22 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%? | BUY | 0.559999998 | $11.46 |
| 06-12 01:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $7.65 |