0xeC8fF616DaBBBf292b5C2655132c75C8D83494d5-1771205720085
0xec8ff616dabbbf292b5c2655132c75c8d83494d5
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $314.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.025 | $1.3k | +$589.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.66at 0.688US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$88.24at 0.850Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
- +$15.95at 0.385Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$-50.27at 0.860Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$-200.00at 0.300US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 14:11 | Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $500.00 |
| 03-16 11:07 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.6876814816 | $400.00 |
| 03-16 11:07 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2999999992 | $200.00 |
| 03-04 23:14 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.5600607828 | $691.43 |
| 03-04 11:54 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.02 | $457.78 |
| 03-03 23:42 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.81 | $1000.00 |
| 03-03 13:43 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.0k |
| 03-03 13:42 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.1k |
| 03-03 13:39 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.2k |
| 03-03 13:36 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0137195305 | $1000.00 |
| 02-22 23:02 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.0176831395 | $354.20 |
| 02-22 23:02 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.015875935 | $317.51 |
| 02-22 23:02 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.0082955773 | $82.96 |
| 02-22 20:13 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.039689691 | $795.00 |
| 02-22 20:13 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0417022916 | $417.00 |