PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEC85247a3e1968e1d6AB516e3e468BDdf06a8bA8-1720815156141

0xec85247a3e1968e1d6ab516e3e468bddf06a8ba8

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$173.8k
Markets traded
685
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded685
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5670.825$495.00+$155.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5020.875$470.91+$200.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6260.935$391.75+$129.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6370.935$249.62+$79.62
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.945$181.70+$56.70
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7150.575$140.65$34.24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6140.395$109.71$60.79
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4950.420$109.20$19.58
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.7000.989$96.18+$28.07
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7480.962$77.14+$17.14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3830.065$68.93$337.35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5430.864$31.82+$11.82
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · Yes0.1930.035$30.87$139.61
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.2240.065$28.15$68.83
Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4000.935$18.70+$10.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 13:49LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.72$36.00
09-09 13:49LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.89$89.00
09-09 13:41Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$282.00
09-09 13:38Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$282.00
09-09 13:33Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9457983193$112.55
09-09 13:29Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?BUY0.774$154.80
08-21 08:52Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?SELL0.56$105.34
08-21 08:45Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.45$180.00
07-11 10:59LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.5499999931$20.00
07-11 10:55LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.3499999842$10.00
07-09 11:36Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?BUY0.5558823115$3.00
07-09 11:29LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.9699999998$100.00
07-09 11:25LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.9499999715$10.00
07-09 11:23LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.9399999981$10.00
07-07 19:46Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.998$870.66