0xEC85247a3e1968e1d6AB516e3e468BDdf06a8bA8-1720815156141
0xec85247a3e1968e1d6ab516e3e468bddf06a8ba8
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $173.8k
- Markets traded
- 685
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded685
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.585Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
- +$681.82at 0.264Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$401.06at 0.791S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
- +$238.95at 0.962Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$236.00at 0.247Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 13:49 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 09-09 13:49 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 09-09 13:41 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 09-09 13:38 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 09-09 13:33 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9457983193 | $112.55 |
| 09-09 13:29 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.774 | $154.80 |
| 08-21 08:52 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.56 | $105.34 |
| 08-21 08:45 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.45 | $180.00 |
| 07-11 10:59 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 10:55 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 11:36 | Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026? | BUY | 0.5558823115 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 11:29 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 11:25 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.9499999715 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 11:23 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 19:46 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $870.66 |