0xeC7e24Aa803486063Ac05eca9b2Bf9F0c8f90d36-1773230033736
0xec7e24aa803486063ac05eca9b2bf9f0c8f90d36
- Realised P&L
- $-270.92
- Volume
- $57.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,496
- Open portfolio
- $13.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,496
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.83at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3AM ET
- +$22.29at 0.809Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4PM ET
- +$20.79at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12AM ET
- +$15.84at 0.699Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12AM ET
- +$14.60at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4 | $16.40 |
| 08-04 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.17 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.38 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 14:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4042083333 | $4.85 |
| 08-04 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3916666667 | $2.35 |
| 08-04 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.34 |
| 05-08 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $3.42 |
| 05-08 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $2.34 |
| 05-07 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $4.20 |