naicy
0xec76d75afb17bc45ac82faa3f26fcdd373ce8853
- Realised P&L
- $233.37
- Volume
- $64.8k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $526.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.969 | $222.75 | +$8.86 |
| Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.972 | 0.973 | $141.45 | +$0.11 |
| Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.878 | 0.915 | $96.08 | +$3.93 |
| Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.958 | $66.14 | +$5.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.53at 0.860Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$40.27at 0.968Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$29.55at 0.959Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
- +$28.05at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
- +$14.65at 0.870Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:36 | Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9717394981 | $141.34 |
| 09-18 13:15 | Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $70.40 |
| 09-18 13:14 | Will Zcash dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $21.75 |
| 09-16 01:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $279.74 |
| 09-16 01:22 | Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $60.79 |
| 07-17 08:57 | Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $213.90 |
| 07-10 11:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $548.69 |
| 07-02 12:22 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.977640553 | $212.15 |
| 06-28 02:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.956 | $326.00 |
| 06-28 02:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9899233588 | $186.38 |
| 06-24 12:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.986 | $544.27 |
| 06-20 08:10 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $535.55 |
| 06-01 02:39 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $536.17 |
| 05-26 07:17 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $535.39 |
| 05-21 13:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $534.39 |