chamel999
0xec751cdcdbc06b18064e8e88846077949c588786
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $419.5k
- Markets traded
- 413
- Open portfolio
- $4.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded413
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 10? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.941 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Game Handicap: Vasylets Andrii (-1.5) vs Kurylenko Oleh (+1.5) · Kurylenko Oleh | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · 1win | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Open de France? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.046Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?
- +$2.4kat 0.120Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?
- +$1.3kat 0.431Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?
- +$1.3kat 0.240Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?
- +$1.1kat 0.363Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:10 | Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 21:09 | Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 20:27 | Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Nut" this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 17:55 | Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.02 |
| 09-30 17:51 | Will Trump say "Border" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.02 |
| 09-30 17:51 | Will Trump say "Border" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | BUY | 0.9899990682 | $1.02 |
| 09-30 17:48 | Counter-Strike: Reveal vs Huskies eSport (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular Season | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 17:32 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Esport BERG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 17:01 | Counter-Strike: K27 vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 11:00 | Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 06:01 | Game Handicap: Vasylets Andrii (-1.5) vs Kurylenko Oleh (+1.5) | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 03:19 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 10? | BUY | 0.9449187312 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 01:19 | Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 22:46 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 18:37 | Will Trump say "Data Center" this week? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.33 |