3955f
0xec70cc7e6f51c06a69a1f6ec5c2fb1862bd81f82
- Realised P&L
- $-161.66
- Volume
- $27.6k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $0.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.200LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)
- +$18.22at 0.180LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$9.82at 0.500Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$9.36at 0.470LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)
- +$6.40at 0.382LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 03:01 | Linera FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 05:47 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | BUY | 0.5099999956 | $15.00 |
| 03-05 12:30 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | SELL | 0.73 | $3.91 |
| 03-05 11:55 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.5599999253 | $3.00 |
| 02-15 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $2.91 |
| 02-15 04:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.94 |
| 02-15 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999957 | $3.97 |
| 01-15 03:47 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.048 | $10.09 |
| 01-13 00:00 | Will Lighter dip to $2.00 in January? | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 12-30 06:53 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 06:52 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.17 |
| 12-30 06:52 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 12-28 10:04 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 12-28 10:04 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 12-28 10:03 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |