kingnothingKC67
0xec6dcec33a0219098a31e3f8e037ef6a9df0d1a9
- Realised P&L
- $4.80
- Volume
- $423.87
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $154.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.72at 0.931Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$0.20at 0.837Commanders vs. Eagles
- +$0.04at 0.113Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
- +$0.00at 0.220Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
- +$-0.10at 0.895Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:22 | Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.5 | $13.21 |
| 09-17 00:17 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999904 | $3.54 |
| 09-17 00:16 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999715 | $3.26 |
| 09-16 23:20 | Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.9079999985 | $23.94 |
| 09-16 23:15 | Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999963 | $2.82 |
| 09-16 22:55 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.1899999991 | $2.02 |
| 09-16 22:05 | Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.09625 | $0.39 |
| 09-16 12:45 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999869 | $1.93 |
| 09-15 21:59 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.0699999972 | $1.48 |
| 09-15 21:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4299999962 | $4.52 |
| 09-15 21:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.87 |
| 09-15 21:40 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.89 |
| 09-15 21:33 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4879999947 | $5.14 |
| 09-15 21:23 | Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.42 |
| 09-15 21:21 | Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7729999933 | $8.11 |