PolyBot

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Traders

kingnothingKC67

0xec6dcec33a0219098a31e3f8e037ef6a9df0d1a9

Realised P&L
$4.80
Volume
$423.87
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$154.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Miami (FL) Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.6250.630$27.53+$0.22
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.9080.912$24.06+$0.12
Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.5000.485$12.81$0.40
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.3800.945$9.95+$5.95
Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.8900.895$9.83+$0.05
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7730.839$8.80+$0.69
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? · No0.7200.755$8.38+$0.39
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.7800.795$6.91+$0.13
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5000.530$5.69+$0.32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5050.541$5.68+$0.38
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.4880.487$5.13$0.01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4300.405$4.26$0.26
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? · No0.3600.355$3.82$0.05
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3400.340$3.54+$0.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2900.305$3.21+$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:22Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.5$13.21
09-17 00:17Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3399999904$3.54
09-17 00:16Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.3099999715$3.26
09-16 23:20Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.9079999985$23.94
09-16 23:15Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?BUY0.2599999963$2.82
09-16 22:55Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?BUY0.1899999991$2.02
09-16 22:05Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.09625$0.39
09-16 12:45Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999869$1.93
09-15 21:59Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.0699999972$1.48
09-15 21:502026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4299999962$4.52
09-15 21:42Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?BUY0.36$3.87
09-15 21:40Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?BUY0.18$1.89
09-15 21:33Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4879999947$5.14
09-15 21:23Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.07$0.42
09-15 21:21Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.7729999933$8.11