PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Gn00500873

0xec6cdba0c85dd354a19918e949395a362f60be95

Realised P&L
$19.47
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$75.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.4601.000$32.61+$17.61
Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026? · No0.5051.000$19.80+$9.80
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · Yes0.1200.038$16.01−$33.90
EU debt downgrade before 2027? · Yes0.4340.145$6.69−$13.31
Ethereum flipped in 2026? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$5.00
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-13 10:25Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?SELL0.33$4.28
03-13 10:23Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?SELL0.006$2.46
02-08 19:06Major CEX insolvent in 2026?BUY0.12$20.22
02-08 19:05Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?SELL0.9$20.22
02-08 19:03Major CEX insolvent in 2026?BUY0.1199999968$29.69
02-08 18:58Ethereum flipped in 2026?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
02-08 18:49Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?BUY0.5049654775$10.00
01-28 18:56Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
01-28 18:30Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?BUY0.2135922199$10.00
01-25 07:20Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY0.98$15.00
01-16 08:14Trump approval Up or Down this week?SELL0.7$7.70
01-15 21:56Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?BUY0.2$5.00
01-15 17:19Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?BUY0.6699999839$10.00
01-11 04:30Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
01-11 04:12EU debt downgrade before 2027?BUY0.4336283155$20.00