0xec5f8b4c019ba90009d27f99fa5c8eecaabb403a
0xec5f8b4c019ba90009d27f99fa5c8eecaabb403a
- Realised P&L
- $-7.85
- Volume
- $117.68
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $4.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.963 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.400 | 0.580 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.505 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.095 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.04at 0.490US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.02at 0.500SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25?
- +$0.98at 0.510Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 01:23 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:51 | Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:29 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 06:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:23 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:30 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:58 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |