0xec5625bde94bdf224d6d941e612a403989921816
- Realised P&L
- $-37.7k
- Volume
- $3.78M
- Markets traded
- 3,119
- Open portfolio
- $290.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,119
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes | 0.411 | 0.460 | $152.55 | +$16.18 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.325 | $102.09 | −$15.47 |
| Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.275 | $35.50 | +$6.06 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.004 | $0.01 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.7kat 0.122Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.1kat 0.112Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5
- +$7.5kat 0.401Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$7.1kat 0.335Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.8kat 0.377Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 18:39 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.916 | $48.27 |
| 08-31 18:39 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.19 | $23.40 |
| 08-31 18:39 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.09 | $15.39 |
| 08-31 18:38 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.89 | $191.35 |
| 08-31 18:38 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.72 |
| 08-31 18:38 | Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.042 | $16.96 |
| 08-31 18:36 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.38 |
| 08-31 18:35 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.8964496124 | $743.58 |
| 08-31 18:30 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 18:29 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.12 |
| 08-31 18:26 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.01 | $11.27 |
| 08-31 18:26 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.7436098543 | $857.23 |
| 08-31 18:23 | Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.005 | $7.51 |
| 08-31 18:08 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.148 | $237.31 |
| 08-31 17:37 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.643 | $1.2k |