0xeC4e177aAC69e9186ce6E4E9163A3f5ED0508bf0-1769192243319
0xec4e177aac69e9186ce6e4e9163a3f5ed0508bf0
- Realised P&L
- $466.00
- Volume
- $41.1k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$482.59at 0.190Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
- +$139.10at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$124.87at 0.491Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$114.45at 0.090Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.00at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:55 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999862 | $39.13 |
| 08-03 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 10:36 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5349999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 20:16 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.88 | $140.77 |
| 07-20 16:15 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8399999995 | $134.38 |
| 07-20 07:10 | Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0239999997 | $80.00 |
| 07-20 07:10 | Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.030436719 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 07:09 | Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.032 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 21:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999991 | $249.19 |
| 07-15 21:22 | Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 23:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.193 | $214.44 |
| 07-14 20:22 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0528655928 | $30.92 |
| 07-08 20:38 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 07-08 20:36 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999949 | $30.00 |