PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xeC4e177aAC69e9186ce6E4E9163A3f5ED0508bf0-1769192243319

0xec4e177aac69e9186ce6e4e9163a3f5ed0508bf0

Realised P&L
$466.00
Volume
$41.1k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.6400.825$431.90+$96.85
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0340.032$121.49$8.51
Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0240.022$102.29$6.71
Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0300.030$100.21+$0.21
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5350.515$96.36$3.64
Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.0260.021$89.21$19.29
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.6600.655$38.83$0.30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.645$30.23+$0.23
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$150.87
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$4.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.7620.000$0.00$38.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$5.00
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway · Norway0.1690.000$0.00$33.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 20:55Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.6599999862$39.13
08-03 20:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.84$5.00
08-03 20:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.7899999826$5.00
08-01 10:36Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5349999999$100.00
07-26 20:16Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.88$140.77
07-20 16:15Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.8399999995$134.38
07-20 07:10Will the Anaheim Ducks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.0239999997$80.00
07-20 07:10Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.030436719$100.00
07-20 07:09Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.032$100.00
07-15 21:45Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999991$249.19
07-15 21:22Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.0239999998$100.00
07-14 23:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.193$214.44
07-14 20:22Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0528655928$30.92
07-08 20:38US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$30.00
07-08 20:36Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6099999949$30.00