0xec4c7458246580D24E1E575E5e4889C5a1B39C73-1773245452094
0xec4c7458246580d24e1e575e5e4889c5a1b39c73
- Realised P&L
- $21.77
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $54.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.16at 0.706Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$6.90at 0.503Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$4.90at 0.755Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$4.50at 0.700Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$3.08at 0.008Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 13:46 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 05-19 03:47 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.058 | $0.29 |
| 05-11 12:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 05-06 09:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 04-27 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $6.83 |
| 04-27 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $6.38 |
| 04-27 15:22 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 04-27 15:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 04-19 10:40 | Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.70 |
| 04-13 14:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 03-12 14:25 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.89 |
| 03-12 13:42 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.00 |