Revector
0xec4c00cfc33b9f35d4e228a3b35711c83d9c6994
- Realised P&L
- $102.55
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $577.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.863 | 0.945 | $283.50 | +$24.50 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · No | 0.802 | 0.892 | $249.17 | +$25.14 |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.915 | $18.30 | +$1.10 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.855 | $15.39 | +$2.07 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No | 0.760 | 0.855 | $8.55 | +$0.95 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.135 | $2.43 | −$1.27 |
| Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.012 | $0.24 | −$1.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.35at 0.220Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in March?
- +$114.00at 0.620Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?
- +$103.32at 0.137Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?
- +$24.21at 0.760Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
- +$23.00at 0.923Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 11:01 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 04-05 00:31 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $97.10 |
| 04-02 07:30 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.8021220717 | $200.00 |
| 03-06 07:27 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.801 | $24.03 |
| 03-06 07:07 | AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $78.56 |
| 03-06 06:54 | AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $19.62 |
| 03-04 09:14 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 03-04 09:14 | Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.078 | $1.56 |
| 03-04 09:05 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 03-04 09:04 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 03-04 08:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 03-04 08:59 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.92 |
| 03-03 06:01 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |
| 03-03 06:00 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |
| 03-03 05:31 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |