0xec4bF2DfCC1BB657ca9E01c8B4444718A1105839-1764244106062
0xec4bf2dfcc1bb657ca9e01c8b4444718a1105839
- Realised P&L
- $-803.09
- Volume
- $39.5k
- Markets traded
- 409
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded409
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.938 | 0.941 | $8.5k | +$22.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Down | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.00at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
- +$130.13at 0.918Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?
- +$93.88at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$79.78at 0.608Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$73.48at 0.602Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:48 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $125.65 |
| 03-16 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $6.42 |
| 03-16 19:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.80 |
| 03-12 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8290057056 | $13.13 |
| 03-12 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8390000884 | $5.82 |
| 03-12 21:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9590004338 | $13.42 |
| 02-26 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $6.79 |
| 02-26 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $6.50 |
| 02-26 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.69 |
| 02-26 05:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 02-26 05:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 02-26 05:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 02-25 22:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.51 |
| 02-25 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $6.27 |
| 02-25 20:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $5.08 |