nowayni
0xec41bea5cba6366ec364ded806e24ee1a3e91134
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $745.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,263
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,263
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$745.00at 0.255LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
- +$732.46at 0.332Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$703.01at 0.406Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$644.24at 0.512Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
- +$552.00at 0.448Thunder vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 10-31 13:25 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-30 21:38 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 10-30 21:09 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-29 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on October 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-29 21:51 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $248.00 |
| 10-29 21:50 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $248.25 |
| 10-29 21:50 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.99202502 | $496.01 |
| 10-29 21:28 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.98964498 | $494.82 |
| 10-29 19:44 | Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-28 19:52 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-28 18:26 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 10-28 17:38 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 10-28 16:13 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.69 | $17.25 |
| 10-28 15:18 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |