hsp88
0xec2af0b21701ec9832d2b4b5644d2899676ae917
- Realised P&L
- $-210.00
- Volume
- $138.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $28.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.095 | $15.83 | −$5.67 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? · No | 0.032 | 0.029 | $5.58 | −$0.49 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.026 | $4.82 | −$5.36 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.045 | $1.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? · No | 0.140 | 0.016 | $0.35 | −$2.71 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? · No | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? · No | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$129.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.48at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?
- +$50.85at 0.601Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 19?
- +$15.14at 0.747Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 20?
- +$11.99at 0.893Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 21?
- +$11.59at 0.931Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on March 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 18:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.13 | $19.50 |
| 10-06 17:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.40 |
| 10-06 17:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 17:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 17:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.67 |
| 10-06 11:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7? | BUY | 0.0559999998 | $10.18 |
| 10-03 08:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.1399999991 | $3.06 |
| 10-03 08:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.0919999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 08:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.032 | $15.04 |
| 03-24 05:14 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.01491 | $14.91 |
| 03-24 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24? | SELL | 0.0631743243 | $14.02 |
| 03-24 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24? | BUY | 0.7146882883 | $158.66 |
| 03-24 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $158.84 |
| 03-24 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 24? | BUY | 0.9288888889 | $91.96 |
| 03-24 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 24? | BUY | 0.93 | $55.80 |