Alec3410
0xec23ea8cfc0caa9775b6c24477c19f58b484bfba
- Realised P&L
- $160.91
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $53.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.57at 0.070Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$122.86at 0.140Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
- +$56.67at 0.150UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber
- +$40.45at 0.110Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
- +$37.14at 0.350UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999955 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 21:03 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $25.00 |
| 03-26 13:14 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 03-26 13:13 | Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $19.84 |
| 03-23 01:24 | Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $4.98 |
| 03-23 01:17 | Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators | BUY | 0.2664473568 | $14.90 |
| 03-17 13:36 | Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 03-17 13:31 | Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0449999957 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 04:23 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 12-03 20:04 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.00 |
| 12-03 20:02 | Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.0184869861 | $4.00 |
| 12-03 20:02 | Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.0401931231 | $4.00 |
| 11-28 02:45 | Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 9 straight weeks? | BUY | 0.0098039216 | $5.00 |
| 11-28 02:44 | Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks? | BUY | 0.0291197693 | $6.00 |
| 11-28 02:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999962 | $25.00 |