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Traders

Alec3410

0xec23ea8cfc0caa9775b6c24477c19f58b484bfba

Realised P&L
$198.56
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$160.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.1500.675$112.50+$87.50
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.235$18.95$6.05
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4500.395$17.56$2.44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1100.040$8.98$16.02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0130.007$2.88$2.12
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.00
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$6.00
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) · Edson Barboza0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.00
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.00
Obama federally charged in 2025? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$25.00
Astronomer Divorce Parlay · Yes0.2310.000$0.00$10.00
Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$25.00
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 22:41UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.15$15.00
08-15 22:39UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.2699999681$5.00
08-09 15:50Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4499999921$20.00
08-09 15:50Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.3099999926$25.00
08-09 15:472026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.0129999974$5.00
08-02 21:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999955$25.00
08-02 21:03Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.1399999956$25.00
03-26 13:14Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.5$20.00
03-26 13:13Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State CyclonesBUY0.6299999915$19.84
03-23 01:24Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida GatorsBUY0.1399999787$4.98
03-23 01:17Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida GatorsBUY0.2664473568$14.90
03-17 13:36Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
03-17 13:31Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.0449999957$10.00
02-01 04:23Will the fight be won by submission?BUY0.16$5.00
12-03 20:04Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?BUY0.016$2.00
Trader Alec3410 · PolyBot Pro