PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xoxy

0xec1c524c791266d7ab2fea963c60352d02df5452

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$443.0k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$106.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.1430.125$106.93$15.76
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00$49.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-07 20:25Iran closes its airspace by May 8?SELL0.0513899265$186.25
04-30 21:54Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL0.003$7.50
04-30 21:53US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL0.003$7.50
04-29 05:12Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?SELL0.002$5.00
04-13 18:12Will Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$1.32
04-13 18:10Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$3.15
04-10 08:45Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.29$51.33
03-21 07:36Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.29$7.31
01-03 17:09Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?SELL0.03$0.99
01-03 17:09Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?SELL0.006$0.55
11-26 17:12Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL0.01$3.50
11-26 17:11Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.011$3.85
11-24 10:42Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?SELL0.0183816145$5.51
11-23 21:50Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?SELL0.033$5.94
10-28 15:39Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?SELL0.06$18.00