PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xec17a2bb5b9772ca8b39c66e26808a4043f40af9

Realised P&L
$21.55
Volume
$31.6k
Markets traded
569
Open portfolio
$694.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded569
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yes0.1040.240$16.96+$9.61
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · No0.4100.930$16.58+$9.27
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0830.160$13.74+$6.60
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? · Yes0.1100.187$12.32+$5.07
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1510.280$11.60+$5.32
Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? · Yes0.5900.915$11.17+$3.97
Will SER hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.2900.425$10.99+$3.49
Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.0360.051$10.70+$3.22
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? · Yes0.3100.445$10.68+$3.24
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.2300.320$10.24+$2.88
Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? · Yes0.5200.700$9.80+$2.52
Will Julio Cesar win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? · Yes0.0800.105$9.77+$2.33
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? · Yes0.4790.600$9.40+$1.89
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · Yes0.6000.765$9.33+$2.01
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.5000.659$9.33+$2.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:16M25 Guiyang: Kai-i Wang vs Nino EhrenschneiderBUY0.23$7.36
09-17 03:33Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?SELL0.93$5.58
09-16 18:55Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?BUY0.5299999607$4.86
09-16 13:50Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?BUY0.8899999842$4.50
09-16 13:47Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.92$4.60
09-16 13:38Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?BUY0.3139999997$4.41
09-16 13:29Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$4.50
09-16 13:29Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9099998299$4.60
09-16 12:56Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.7899999859$7.29
09-16 12:23Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Arthur NagelBUY0.23$7.36
09-16 12:22Ljubljana: Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine GorgodzeSELL0.78$17.16
09-16 11:58Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?BUY0.3299999868$4.76
09-16 10:46Ljubljana: Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine GorgodzeBUY0.32$7.26
09-16 09:59Rennes: Max Schoenhaus vs Matteo MartineauBUY0.15$7.50
09-16 09:23Ljubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Denisa ZoldakovaBUY0.2299999935$7.44