ae3g
0xec10230daeab878f2a16aa7890c353a285617c3f
- Realised P&L
- $2.72
- Volume
- $78.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $74.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes | 0.814 | 0.930 | $74.31 | +$9.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.90at 0.830Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
- +$0.62at 0.991Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
- +$0.24at 0.455Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.21at 0.997Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.21at 0.997Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 05:30 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.8135032279 | $65.00 |
| 05-13 05:28 | Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.83 | $58.10 |
| 05-13 05:28 | Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.0495714286 | $3.47 |
| 05-13 05:28 | Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.33 |
| 05-13 05:28 | Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.26 |
| 05-13 05:27 | Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.0188571429 | $1.32 |
| 05-13 05:27 | Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | BUY | 0.0408571429 | $2.86 |
| 02-22 17:08 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.997 | $68.80 |
| 01-17 15:59 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969999915 | $68.59 |
| 12-16 18:44 | Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? | BUY | 0.9909999909 | $67.98 |
| 12-16 18:43 | Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024? | SELL | 0.998 | $67.97 |
| 11-13 17:37 | Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.05 |
| 11-03 16:11 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.46 | $21.96 |
| 10-06 17:14 | Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.998 | $46.00 |
| 10-04 11:39 | Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.003 | $46.00 |